Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 31% | 28.52% | 40.48% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% | 60.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% | 80.81% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% | 72.37% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% | 65.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.48% |