Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
59.22% | 23.25% | 17.52% |
Both teams to score 46.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% | 52.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% | 73.89% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% | 17.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.31% | 47.68% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.52% | 43.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.31% | 79.69% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |