La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Jose Zorrilla

Real Valladolid
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Alcaraz (60'), Nacho (71'), Orellana (76'), Plano (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Casemiro (65')
Vazquez (69'), Arribas (78')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.36%) and 0-3 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
8.78%	16.67%	74.55%

Both teams to score 42.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69%

44.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31%

66.69%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.11%

52.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.42%

86.58%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73%

10.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.35%

33.66%

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 8.78%

Real Madrid 74.54%

Draw 16.67%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 3.46% 2-1 @ 2.51% 2-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.78%	1-1 @ 7.88% 0-0 @ 5.43% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.5% Total : 16.67%	0-2 @ 14.07% 0-1 @ 12.36% 0-3 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 6.07% 1-4 @ 3.87% 0-5 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-6 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.77% Total : 74.54%