Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 74.85% | 16.26% | 8.89% |
| Both teams to score 44.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.48% | 64.51% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% | 9.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.83% | 32.17% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.79% | 51.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.52% | 85.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 13.5% 1-0 @ 11.54% 3-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 6.17% 4-1 @ 4.13% 5-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.2% Total : 74.84% | 1-1 @ 7.72% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.26% | 0-1 @ 3.3% 1-2 @ 2.59% 0-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.89% |