Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Elche |
| 40.68% | 27.43% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 48.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% | 77.61% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.77% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% | 32.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% | 69.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.88% |