Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Granada |
| 31.77% | 28.27% | 39.96% |
| Both teams to score 46.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% | 71.16% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.25% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.96% |