La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
0 - 4
Barcelona

Soldado (45'), Suarez Charris (73')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Griezmann (12', 63'), Messi (35', 42')
Mingueza (49'), Busquets (82'), Alba (87')

Reaction

Lionel Messi celebrates scoring for Barcelona against Granada in La Liga on January 9, 2021

Barcelona's Lionel Messi sets new La Liga scoring record

Barcelona forward Lionel Messi becomes the first player in La Liga history to hit double figures in 15 consecutive seasons with his brace in Saturday's win over Granada.

Jan 10, 18:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Barcelona
10.58%	16.55%	72.87%

Both teams to score 50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.73%

60.26%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01%

44.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.07%

80.92%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.93%

9.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.17%

30.82%

Score Analysis

Granada 10.58%

Barcelona 72.87%

Draw 16.55%

Granada	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 3.26% 2-1 @ 3.12% 2-0 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.58%	1-1 @ 7.82% 0-0 @ 4.08% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.55%	0-2 @ 11.75% 0-1 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 9.39% 1-3 @ 7.52% 0-4 @ 5.65% 1-4 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 3% 0-5 @ 2.71% 1-5 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-6 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.09% Total : 72.87%