Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Elche win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Elche |
| 76.77% | 14.05% | 9.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.24% | 29.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.09% | 50.92% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.66% | 6.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.18% | 23.83% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.14% | 41.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.69% | 78.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% 3-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 6.41% 4-1 @ 5.58% 5-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 3.52% 5-1 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.43% 6-0 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.42% 5-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.24% Total : 76.76% | 1-1 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 3.83% 0-0 @ 2.65% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.05% | 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-1 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.98% Total : 9.18% |