Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 1
Granada

Zielinski (3'), Fabian (59')
Politano (36'), Insigne (41'), Maksimovic (41'), Bakayoko (88'), Koulibaly (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Montoro (25')
Kenedy (36'), Montoro (39'), Duarte (40'), Sanchez (55'), Herrera (62'), Foulquier (90')

Reaction

Granada players celebrate overcoming Napoli in the Europa League on February 25, 2021

Europa League roundup: Napoli knocked out by Granada

Dutch giants Ajax booked their spot in the next stage following a 2-1 victory against Lille.

Feb 25, 20:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Napoli and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Granada had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Granada
47.85%	24.98%	27.16%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95%

49.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87%

71.12%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47%

20.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97%

53.03%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.82%

Score Analysis

Napoli 47.85%

Granada 27.16%

Draw 24.98%

Napoli	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.85%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.16%

How you voted: Napoli vs Granada

Napoli

71.0%

Draw

11.7%

Granada

17.3%