Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta4 - 2Napoli
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
| 45.78% | 23.96% | 30.26% |
| Both teams to score 59.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
