Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
4 - 2
Napoli

Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
45.78%	23.96%	30.26%

Both teams to score 59.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.33%

42.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.93%

65.08%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16%

18.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71%

50.3%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16%

26.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86%

62.14%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 45.78%

Napoli 30.26%

Draw 23.96%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.78%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC

69.6%

Draw

11.6%

Napoli

18.8%