Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.