Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
1 - 3
Lazio

Pasalic (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.07%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 22.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 1-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
57.07%	20.62%	22.32%

Both teams to score 63.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.45%

55.55%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19%

11.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.97%

37.03%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1%

27.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49%

63.51%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.07%

Lazio 22.32%

Draw 20.62%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.52% 1-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.07%	1-1 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.29% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.5% Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC

61.6%

Draw

25.9%

Lazio

12.5%