Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
39.15% | 23.75% | 37.1% |
Both teams to score 62.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% | 39.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% | 61.99% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% | 20.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% | 52.98% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |