Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 13, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
1 - 0
Juventus

Insigne (31' pen.)
Di Lorenzo (23'), Bakayoko (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chiellini (30'), Cuadrado (45'), Rabiot (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Juventus
39.15%	23.75%	37.1%

Both teams to score 62.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36%

39.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01%

61.99%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02%

52.98%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Score Analysis

Napoli 39.15%

Juventus 37.1%

Draw 23.74%

Napoli	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.15%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.1%