Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
39.15% | 23.75% | 37.1% |
Both teams to score 62.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% | 39.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% | 61.99% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% | 20.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% | 52.98% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |