La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 7, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Benzema (88')
Varane (67')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
23.81%	25.7%	50.49%

Both teams to score 48.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6%

54.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22%

75.77%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.93%

38.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16%

74.84%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42%

21.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33%

54.67%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 23.81%

Real Madrid 50.49%

Draw 25.69%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.81%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 12.59% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.49%