La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
0 - 2
Atletico

Costa (32'), Albiol (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
26.04%	25.51%	48.45%

Both teams to score 51.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.05%

51.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31%

73.69%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24%

34.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.5%

71.5%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55%

21.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53%

54.47%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 26.04%

Atletico Madrid 48.45%

Draw 25.51%

Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.04%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.45%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal

25.3%

Draw

11.0%

Atletico Madrid

63.7%