La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 31, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Ramon de Carranza

Cadiz
2 - 4
Atletico

Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Suarez (28', 50' pen.), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
15.07%	25.23%	59.7%

Both teams to score 37.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.66%

62.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.01%

81.99%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.15%

52.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.45%

86.55%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98%

21.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19%

53.81%

Score Analysis

Cadiz 15.07%

Atletico Madrid 59.69%

Draw 25.22%

Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.09% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.2% Total : 15.07%	0-0 @ 11.1% 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 17.32% 0-2 @ 13.51% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.69%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz

13.7%

Draw

6.0%

Atletico Madrid

80.3%