Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
15.07% | 25.23% | 59.7% |
Both teams to score 37.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.66% | 62.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.01% | 81.99% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.15% | 52.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.45% | 86.55% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% | 53.81% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.09% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.2% Total : 15.07% | 0-0 @ 11.1% 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 17.32% 0-2 @ 13.51% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |