La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 20, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on March 20, 2021

Zinedine Zidane questions Karim Benzema's omission from France squad

Karim Benzema scored twice en route to a 3-1 victory.

Mar 20, 19:36

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
13.98%	20.27%	65.75%

Both teams to score 47.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66%

46.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.38%

68.63%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.28%

44.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.29%

80.71%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75%

13.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.96%

40.04%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 13.98%

Real Madrid 65.74%

Draw 20.27%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 3.88% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.05% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.98%	1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.27%	0-2 @ 12.1% 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-5 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.8% Total : 65.74%