Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 34.77% | 26.96% | 38.26% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.69% | 54.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.3% | 75.69% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% | 65.73% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 38.26% |