Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 38.75% | 27.05% | 34.21% |
| Both teams to score 50.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.02% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% | 27.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% | 62.99% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% | 30.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.21% |