Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Eibar |
| 40.75% | 27.21% | 32.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.24% | 55.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% | 76.9% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% | 26.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% | 62.19% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% | 32.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% | 68.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.03% |