Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Granada |
| 30.84% | 28.06% | 41.11% |
| Both teams to score 46.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% | 59.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% | 79.62% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% | 34.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% | 71.62% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 12.46% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.11% |