Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
0 - 2
Man Utd

Duarte (51'), Brice Eteki (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rashford (31'), Fernandes (90' pen.)
Pogba (8'), McTominay (40'), Shaw (43'), Maguire (72'), Matic (84')

Reaction

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on March 18, 2021

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer lavishes praise on Marcus Rashford

United take a 2-0 lead back to Old Trafford.

Apr 8, 22:46

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Granada win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Manchester United
28.59%	23.77%	47.64%

Both teams to score 58.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25%

42.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85%

65.15%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72%

28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35%

63.65%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88%

18.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93%

49.07%

Score Analysis

Granada 28.59%

Manchester United 47.64%

Draw 23.77%

Granada	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 7.02% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.42% 0-1 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.64%