FA Cup

FA Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 1
Man Utd

Iheanacho (24', 78'), Tielemans (52')
Albrighton (69'), Evans (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Greenwood (38')
Maguire (30'), McTominay (72')

Reaction

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured on March 3, 2021

Brendan Rodgers desperate for Leicester City to create history

Leicester have never won the FA Cup, having reached the final four times.

Mar 21, 20:46

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Manchester United
38.8%	26.53%	34.67%

Both teams to score 52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43%

52.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77%

74.23%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36%

61.64%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11%

28.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24%

64.76%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 38.8%

Manchester United 34.67%

Draw 26.53%

Leicester City	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.67%