Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 4, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 1
Brighton

Rashford (62'), Greenwood (83')
Cavani (63'), Greenwood (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Welbeck (13')
Gross (42'), White (66')

Reaction

Manchester United's Mason Greenwood in action with Brighton & Hove Albion's Jakub Moder in the Premier League on April 4, 2021

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer lavishes praise on Mason Greenwood

The young forward scored the winner as Manchester United rallied from behind to beat Brighton at Old Trafford.

Apr 4, 22:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
57.9%	23.11%	18.99%

Both teams to score 49.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46%

49.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43%

71.57%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16%

16.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16%

46.84%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16%

76.84%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 57.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion 18.99%

Draw 23.11%

Manchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.81% 4-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.92% Total : 57.9%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.99%