Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 48.17% | 27.06% | 24.77% |
| Both teams to score 45.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.41% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.85% | 79.15% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% | 39.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.78% | 76.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.36% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.77% |