Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 16.38% | 23.35% | 60.26% |
| Both teams to score 44.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% | 54.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% | 75.63% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.86% | 46.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.17% | 81.83% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% | 17.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% | 48.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.44% 3-1 @ 1.09% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.38% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 14.13% 0-2 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-4 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-5 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.25% |