La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
1 - 0
Alaves

Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
70.45%	19.15%	10.4%

Both teams to score 40.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9%

50.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93%

72.07%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.98%

13.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.44%

39.56%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.81%

53.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.23%

86.77%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 70.44%

Alaves 10.4%

Draw 19.15%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 14.39% 1-0 @ 14.11% 3-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 4.99% 4-1 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 70.44%	1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.15%	0-1 @ 4.37% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.4%