Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
| 40.74% | 29.62% | 29.64% |
| Both teams to score 42.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.36% | 64.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% | 83.64% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% | 31.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% | 67.55% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% | 38.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% | 75.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.77% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.64% |