Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 40.28% | 26.65% | 33.06% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% | 74.88% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% | 26.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% | 61.03% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% | 30.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% | 66.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.06% |