Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.92%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 17.54% | 27.66% | 54.79% |
| Both teams to score 36.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.58% | 66.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.13% | 84.87% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.02% | 85.98% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% | 24.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% | 59.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 3.85% 2-0 @ 2.77% Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.55% | 0-0 @ 12.92% 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 2.68% Other @ 0.29% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 17.98% 0-2 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-4 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.92% Total : 54.79% |