Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 34.98%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (13.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.