Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Mar 17, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Atletico

Ziyech (34'), Palmieri (90+4')
Havertz (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lodi (31'), Niguez (51'), Gimenez (60'), Koke (72')
Savic (82')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on March 4, 2021

Thomas Tuchel lavishes praise on Emerson Palmieri

Emerson scored Chelsea's second in the Champions League win over Atletico Madrid.

Mar 18, 13:19

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The Blues saw off Atletico Madrid.

Mar 17, 23:23

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 34.98%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (13.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Atletico Madrid
34.98%	31.62%	33.4%

Both teams to score 38.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.17%

69.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.88%

87.12%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28%

37.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5%

74.5%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14%

38.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.41%

75.59%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 34.98%

Atletico Madrid 33.4%

Draw 31.6%

Chelsea	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 6.97% 2-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.73% Total : 34.98%	0-0 @ 14.65% 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.6%	0-1 @ 13.85% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.56% Total : 33.4%