Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 13.06% | 21.56% | 65.38% |
| Both teams to score 41.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% | 74.92% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.01% | 84.99% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% | 15.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% | 44.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 5.4% 2-1 @ 3.42% 2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.06% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 14.64% 0-2 @ 13.58% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-4 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-5 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 0.99% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.82% Total : 65.37% |