Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Getafe |
| 28.88% | 29.68% | 41.43% |
| Both teams to score 41.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.93% | 65.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.06% | 83.93% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% | 39.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% | 76.31% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% | 31.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% | 67.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.44% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 12.29% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.67% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-3 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.42% |