Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 50.62% | 25.09% | 24.29% |
| Both teams to score 50.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% | 51.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% | 73.41% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% | 20.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% | 52.83% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% | 36.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.29% |