Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
50.62% | 25.09% | 24.29% |
Both teams to score 50.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% | 51.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% | 73.41% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.59% | 20.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.16% | 52.83% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% | 36.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% | 72.88% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |