Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
| 31.57% | 27.14% | 41.29% |
| Both teams to score 49.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% | 55.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.77% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% | 68.99% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% | 61.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.28% |