La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 1
Osasuna

Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
57.85%	25.29%	16.87%

Both teams to score 40.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.79%

60.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.6%

80.4%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1%

20.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39%

53.61%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.91%

49.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.98%

84.01%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.84%

Osasuna 16.87%

Draw 25.28%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 16.05% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.99% Total : 57.84%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.87%