Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 37.62% | 28.3% | 34.08% |
| Both teams to score 46.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% | 66.66% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% | 69.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.08% |