La Liga

Attendance: 48,904

La Liga

Dec 6, 2025 at 8pm UK

Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Atletico Atletico Madrid

Berenguer (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Next Game: Ourense CF vs. Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, December 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Next Game: Atletico Baleares vs. Atletico
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
41.41%	26.26%	32.32%

Both teams to score 52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08%

51.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33%

73.66%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.34%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92%

30.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79%

66.21%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 41.41%

Atletico Madrid 32.32%

Draw 26.26%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.32%