La Liga
Dec 6, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Jauregizar 14' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 20' yellowcard
  • Aymeric Laporte 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 85' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 12'
  • yellowcard Koke 90'+4'

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 6.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
Barcelona 3 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 41.41%
Draw 26.26%
Atletico Madrid 32.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.08%
Under 2.5 51.92%
Over 3.5 26.33%
Under 3.5 73.66%
Over 4.5 12.21%
Under 4.5 87.79%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 75.23%
Under 0.5 24.77%
Over 1.5 40.66%
Under 1.5 59.34%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.92%
Under 0.5 30.07%
Over 1.5 33.79%
Under 1.5 66.21%

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 41.41%
Draw 26.26%
Atletico Madrid 32.32%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.24%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.26%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.32%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sorloth 57' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 66' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 32'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 62'
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 87'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Nico Williams 15' yellowcard
  • Yeray Alvarez 34' yellowcard
  • Oihan Sancet 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Koke 85'
  • goal Angel Correa 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 15' goal
  • Angel Correa 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 80' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Nico Williams 45'
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 59'
  • yellowcard Aitor Paredes 71'
Copa del Rey
Feb 29, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Inaki Williams 13' goal
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 40' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 42' goal
  • Iker Muniain 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 61' goal
  • Inigo Lekue 66' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 28'
Copa del Rey
Feb 7, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 23' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 83' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 25'
  • yellowcard Benat Prados 37'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Unai Gomez 71'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 51' goal
  • Nico Williams 64' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 49'