Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.