Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Celta Vigo logo

Albacete
2-2
Celta Vigo

Betancor (18'), Vallejo (90+3')
FT
(aet)
Lago Amil (64'), Iglesias (75')
Albacete win 3-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey 16th Finals clash between Albacete and Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albacete

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Last Game: Albacete 2-2 Celta Vigo (3-0 pen.)
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Next Game: Granada vs. Albacete
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
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Celta Vigo

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Last Game: Albacete 2-2 Celta Vigo (3-0 pen.)
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Next Game: Real Oviedo vs. Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 20 at 1pm in La Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
AlbaceteDrawCelta Vigo
37.81% (0.232 0.23)25.39% (0.261 0.26)36.8% (-0.491 -0.49)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-0.933 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.55% (-1.197 -1.2)47.45% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-1.119 -1.12)69.66% (1.121 1.12)
Albacete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.42 -0.42)24.64% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.59 -0.59)59.16% (0.593 0.59)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.815 -0.81)25.2% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (-1.141 -1.14)59.93% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Albacete 37.81%
    Celta Vigo 36.8%
    Draw 25.38%
AlbaceteDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.325 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.8%