La Liga
Dec 14, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 45' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 48' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 55' goal
  • Iago Aspas 77' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 88'

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Williot Swedberg

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Atletico
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Alex Berenguer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 41.49%
Draw 26.32%
Athletic Bilbao 32.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.19%
Over 3.5 26.1%
Under 3.5 73.9%
Over 4.5 12.06%
Under 4.5 87.94%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 75.15%
Under 0.5 24.85%
Over 1.5 40.55%
Under 1.5 59.45%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.69%
Under 0.5 30.3%
Over 1.5 33.51%
Under 1.5 66.48%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 41.48%
Draw 26.31%
Athletic Bilbao 32.19%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.53%
2-2 @ 5.2%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.31%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 8.99%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.19%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Ilaix Moriba 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 74' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 62'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 71'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Iago Aspas 71' goal