Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.93% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.