Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Jauregizar 27' yellowcard
  • Mikel Jauregizar 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 48' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 49' yellowcard
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Warren Zaire-Emery 30'

Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
Slavia Prague 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 3 Spurs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.93% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 22.49%
Draw 22.93%
Paris Saint-Germain 54.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.56%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.61%
Under 2.5 44.38%
Over 3.5 33.24%
Under 3.5 66.76%
Over 4.5 16.97%
Under 4.5 83.03%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 66.27%
Under 0.5 33.72%
Over 1.5 29.62%
Under 1.5 70.38%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 83.83%
Under 0.5 16.17%
Over 1.5 54.37%
Under 1.5 45.62%

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 22.49%
Draw 22.93%
Paris Saint-Germain 54.58%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.22%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 5.45%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.93%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.05%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 5.5%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.72%
0-4 @ 2.51%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 54.58%