Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 33.68% | 28.89% | 37.42% |
| Both teams to score 45.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% | 81.39% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% | 34.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% | 70.77% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.41% |