La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2021 at 5pm UK

Martinez Valero

Elche
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Boye (28'), Guti (73')
Mfulu (33'), Piatti (58'), Guti (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
26.18%	26.8%	47.02%

Both teams to score 47.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23%

56.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29%

77.71%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72%

37.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94%

74.06%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85%

24.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53%

58.47%

Score Analysis

Elche 26.18%

Athletic Bilbao 47.02%

Draw 26.8%

Elche	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.18%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-3 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Elche vs Athletic Bilbao

Elche

37.7%

Draw

9.4%

Athletic Bilbao

52.8%