Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
| 41.18% | 28.11% | 30.71% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% | 79.77% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% | 35.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% | 71.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.71% |