La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 28, 2021 at 6pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Real Valladolid

Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
41.69%	28.86%	29.44%

Both teams to score 43.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.67%

62.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.02%

81.98%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49%

65.51%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35%

37.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58%

74.42%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 41.68%

Real Valladolid 29.44%

Draw 28.86%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 8.09% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.86%	0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.71% Total : 29.44%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao

76.8%

Draw

18.4%

Real Valladolid

4.8%