Athletic Bilbao
0 - 4
Barcelona

Garcia (39'), Berchiche (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Griezmann (60'), de Jong (63'), Messi (68', 72')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
19.23%	22.58%	58.18%

Both teams to score 51.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96%

47.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72%

69.27%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52%

38.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.77%

75.23%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14%

15.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93%

45.07%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 19.23%

Barcelona 58.17%

Draw 22.58%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.83% 2-1 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 2.78% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.23%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 11.23% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-4 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.17%