Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.