Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
| 14.67% | 18.47% | 66.85% |
| Both teams to score 56.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% | 36.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% | 37.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% | 74.36% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.89% | 10.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.73% | 33.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 4.17% 1-0 @ 3.72% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.67% | 1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.47% | 0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 7.46% 0-4 @ 4.37% 1-4 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.65% 2-4 @ 2.09% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.96% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 4.02% Total : 66.86% |