Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.